Fig. 7

The blue curves are the numerically obtained survivor distributions ${\overline{G}}_{\varphi }$ for the exact parameters in the four regimes (as in Table 1) and $\Omega =1$. The red curves are obtained in the following manner: Simulations using the true parameters were used to generate sample spikes. Using these samples, the initializer algorithm was used to generate estimates for α, β, γ. Using these estimates, the bell curve discussed in Sect. 3.4 was formed and evolved in time. Thus, the red curve drawn in the figures measures the area under this bell that is to the left of the threshold at time t. a supra-threshold, b supersinusoidal, c critical, d subthreshold